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	<title> &#187; Uncategorized</title>
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		<title>How Much &#8220;Shadow Inventory&#8221; Looms in our market?</title>
		<link>http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/2010/08/how-much-shadow-inventory-looms-in-our-market/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=how-much-shadow-inventory-looms-in-our-market</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Aug 2010 14:11:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Wes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/?p=1012</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[About 2.4 million properties are considered part of the shadow inventory, according to research by NAR.  Getting the exact number is more an art than a science because the inventory is defined differently by different people.  In NAR (National Association REALTORS) definition, shadow inventory consist of REOs along with properties that are either in foreclosure [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/REO_sign.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-1013" title="REO_sign" src="http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/REO_sign.jpg" alt="REO Sign " width="100" height="67" /></a><span style="color: #000000;">About 2.4 million properties are considered part of the shadow inventory, according to research by NAR.  Getting the exact number is more an art than a science</span> <span style="color: #ff0000;">because the inventory is defined differently <span style="color: #000000;">by different people.  In NAR (National Association REALTORS) definition, shadow inventory consist of <a title="What REO properties are" href="http://wiki.answers.com/Q/What_does_REO_stand_for_in_real_estate" target="_blank">REOs</a> along with properties that are either in foreclosure or near foreclosure (those in default 90 days or more).  Not counted are delinquent properties whose owners are trying to modify their mortgage or delinquent properties already on the market as <a title="What is a short sale" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Short_sale_%28real_estate%29" target="_blank">short sales</a> or<a title="What is a foreclosure" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreclosure" target="_blank"> foreclosures</a> sales.  Getting a realistic number isn&#8217;t just of academic interest; if analysts believe the inventory is closer to 7 million than 2.4 million, markets will be spooked.  On a positive note, banks are releasing their foreclosures onto the market methodically rather than dumping them all at once a practice that can depress prices. </span></span></p>
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		<title>Will There Be Another &#8216;Double Dip&#8217; in Real Estate</title>
		<link>http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/2010/08/will-there-be-another-double-dip-in-real-estate/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=will-there-be-another-double-dip-in-real-estate</link>
		<comments>http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/2010/08/will-there-be-another-double-dip-in-real-estate/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Aug 2010 15:47:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Wes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/?p=1001</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I read a good article today which my Broker, Boyd Smith RE/MAX Commonwealth Group sent out. It&#8217;s an article every homeowner needs to read and consider.  As I have always shared with anyone who is selling a home or has to sell a home in the near future&#8230;you are better to sell now than wait. I [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/rollacoaster.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-1002" title="rollacoaster" src="http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/rollacoaster-150x150.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="150" /></a>I read a good article today which my Broker, Boyd Smith RE/MAX Commonwealth Group sent out. It&#8217;s an article every homeowner needs to read and consider.  As I have always shared with anyone who is selling a home or has to sell a home in the near future&#8230;you are better to sell now than wait. I believe and I think the numbers support my belief that we are still in this type of market for at least the next two years. Some argue&#8230;it could actually take up to 5 years, once this market hits bottom, before home values are where they were in 2006. Our economy, government and real estate is still volatilee and any shift could send things spiraling.   A good analogy is like throwing a rock in a pond.  It can be a small rock but the ripples will go throughout the entire pond.  </p>
<p>The question you are probably asking is what is a &#8220;Double Dip?&#8221;  If you have your home on the market or are considering putting your home on the market you will definitelyy want to read this short explanation and hear both sides of the arguments.  <a href="http://kcmblog.com/2010/08/17/will-there-be-a-double-dip-in-real-estate/" target="_blank">Read more,Will There Be a &#8216;Double Dip&#8217; in Real Estate? (click here)</a></p>
<p>If you are thinking about buying and/or selling in the next 15-30 days I would love the opportunity to chat with you to show you how we help individuals, just like you, achieve their real estate goals, 888-322-1135 ext 101.</p>
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		<title>U.S. Existing Home Sales Unexpectedly Fall in May</title>
		<link>http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/2010/06/u-s-existing-home-sales-unexpectedly-fall-in-may/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=u-s-existing-home-sales-unexpectedly-fall-in-may</link>
		<comments>http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/2010/06/u-s-existing-home-sales-unexpectedly-fall-in-may/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Jun 2010 15:43:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Wes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Home Values]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Home Sales]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/?p=900</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[June 22 (Bloomberg) &#8212; Sales of U.S. previously owned homes unexpectedly fell 2.2 percent in May to a 5.66 million annual rate, a sign demand was probably pulled into prior months before a June tax-credit deadline. Bloomberg&#8217;s Mike McKee reports.
Click here for video.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>June 22 (Bloomberg) &#8212; Sales of U.S. previously owned homes unexpectedly fell 2.2 percent in May to a 5.66 million annual rate, a sign demand was probably pulled into prior months before a June tax-credit deadline. Bloomberg&#8217;s Mike McKee reports.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/video/61001364/" target="_blank"><strong>Click here for video</strong></a><strong>.</strong></p>
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		<title>For All You Apple People-iPad Camera Connection Kit</title>
		<link>http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/2010/06/for-all-you-apple-people-ipad-camera-connection-kit/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=for-all-you-apple-people-ipad-camera-connection-kit</link>
		<comments>http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/2010/06/for-all-you-apple-people-ipad-camera-connection-kit/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Jun 2010 16:37:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Wes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/?p=887</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Accessory for Apple&#8217;s iPad let&#8217;s you transfere pictures to iPad without another computer, helpfull since the iPad lacks USB connectors/memory slots.  Includes USB adapter (paired with cable that comes camera); memory card readeradapterr.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/ipod_camera_kit1.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-890" title="ipod_camera_kit" src="http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/ipod_camera_kit1.jpg" alt="" width="80" height="95" /></a><a href="http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/ipod_camera_kit.jpg">Accessory</a> for Apple&#8217;s iPad let&#8217;s you transfere pictures to iPad without another computer, helpfull since the iPad lacks USB connectors/memory slots.  Includes USB adapter (paired with cable that comes camera); memory card readeradapterr.</p>
<p><a class="a2a_dd addtoany_share_save" href="http://www.addtoany.com/share_save?linkurl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.teamestes.com%2Frealestateblog%2F2010%2F06%2Ffor-all-you-apple-people-ipad-camera-connection-kit%2F&amp;linkname=For%20All%20You%20Apple%20People-iPad%20Camera%20Connection%20Kit"><img src="http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/wp-content/plugins/add-to-any/share_save_256_24.png" width="256" height="24" alt="Share/Bookmark"/></a> </p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Rates and mortgage volume fall</title>
		<link>http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/2010/06/rates-and-mortgage-volume-fall/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=rates-and-mortgage-volume-fall</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jun 2010 10:21:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Wes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/?p=879</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Few can refinance; many owe too much 
The average rate on 30-year, fixed mortgages is near a record low again, but that may not be enough to bring lots of buyers into the ‍market.
Mortgage finance giant Freddie Mac says the average for a 30-year mortgage is 4.72%, down from 4.79% a week ago and just [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2><span style="color: #ff0000;">Few can refinance; many owe too much </span></h2>
<p>The average rate on 30-year, fixed mortgages is near a record low again, but that may not be enough to bring lots of buyers into the ‍market.</p>
<p>Mortgage finance giant Freddie Mac says the average for a 30-year mortgage is 4.72%, down from 4.79% a week ago and just a shade above the record low of 4.71% reached early last December.</p>
<p>Despite low rates, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported this week that the volume of new mortgage applications for buying homes fell to a 13-year low.</p>
<p>Refinance applications dropped this past week for the first time in a month. Factors behind the drop-off in activity include the   fact that many homeowners have already refinanced, limiting the pool of potential applicants.</p>
<p>Millions can’t refinance because they are underwater on their mortgages.</p>
<p>Just over 11.2 million, or 24%, of all homes with a mortgage were worth less than the outstanding loan balance at the end of March, according to CoreLogic.</p>
<p>Still others can’t refinance because their credit has been damaged by missing payments due to lost income as a result of the recession.</p>
<p>“We’re not attracting a lot of new refinance customers at this level because customers have refinanced and they don’t have a lot of equity,” says Michael Fratantoni, vice president of research and economics at MBA.</p>
<p>The volume of mortgage applications for purchasing homes is now 35% lower than four weeks ago, because many buyers left the ‍market after a home buyer tax credit expired at the end of April.  </p>
<p>The federal tax credit provided up to $6,500 for repeat buyers and up to $8,000 for first-time home buyers.</p>
<p><strong><em>“We’re on the backside of the tax credit,” says Mark Zandi of Moody’s  Economy.com  . “With the expiration of the credit, now the ‍markets are weakening. I was surprised by the strength of the credit (on the ‍market), so we’ll be surprised by the strength of the weakening.”</em></strong></p>
<p><em><strong>The tax credit did boost sales. Pending home sales have risen for three consecutive months. April’s were up 6% from March and 22.4% higher than April 2009, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). That follows month-over-month gains of 7.1% in March and 8.3% in February.</strong></em></p>
<p><em><strong>Existing-home sales jumped 7.6% in April and were 22.8% higher than in April 2009.</strong></em></p>
<p>“It’s still not easy to get a mortgage,” says Joel Naroff of Naroff Economic Advisors. “I don’t know why people think this ‍housing ‍market is going to bust out. . . . It’s going to be a long process.”</p>
<p>By Stephanie Armour USA TODAY</p>
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		<title>Homebuyer credit not jolting housing market</title>
		<link>http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/2010/03/homebuyer-credit-not-jolting-housing-market/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=homebuyer-credit-not-jolting-housing-market</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Mar 2010 11:10:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Wes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Government incentives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[First Time Home Buyers Tax Incentives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Government tax incentive]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/?p=757</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It sounded like a great idea three months ago: Hand homeowners a $6,500 tax credit to find a new place to live, giving a thrust of energy to the housing market&#8217;s recovery. Read more 
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/auctionhome.jpg"><img class="size-thumbnail wp-image-759 alignleft" title="auctionhome" src="http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/auctionhome-150x150.jpg" alt="" width="85" height="77" /></a>It sounded like a great idea three months ago: Hand homeowners a $6,500 tax credit to find a new place to live, giving a thrust of energy to the housing market&#8217;s recovery. <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/35634885/ns/business-real_estate/" target="_blank">Read more</a> <a href="http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/CBB-Christmas-Family-2009.pdf" target="_blank"></a></p>
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		<title>2010 FHA Loan Limits Released</title>
		<link>http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/2010/01/2010-fha-loan-limits-released/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=2010-fha-loan-limits-released</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Jan 2010 14:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://teamestes.thewrittenblog.com/?p=10036</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[FHA home loans are federal assistance mortgages made by lenders, and backed by the government. The FHA doesn&#8217;t make loans to homeowners &#8212; it insures loans made to homeowners by federally-qualified lenders.
By all accounts, FHA home loans are surging in popularity.

2006, FHA insured 3.3% of all mortgages made
Q2 2009, FHA insured 19.2% of all mortgages [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="2010 FHA Loan Limits" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/fha-loan-limits-2010.png" alt="2010 FHA Loan Limits" width="200" height="200" />FHA home loans are <a title="Federal Assistance on Wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_assistance" target="_blank">federal assistance</a> mortgages made by lenders, and backed by the government. The FHA doesn&#8217;t make loans to homeowners &#8212; it <em>insures</em> loans made to homeowners by federally-qualified lenders.</p>
<p>By all accounts, FHA home loans are surging in popularity.</p>
<ul>
<li>2006, FHA insured 3.3% of all mortgages made</li>
<li>Q2 2009, <a title="FHA marketshare charts" href="http://www.hud.gov/offices/hsg/comp/rpts/fhamktsh/fhamktq2.pdf" target="_blank">FHA insured 19.2%</a> of all mortgages made</li>
</ul>
<p>A major reason for the increase can be tied to guidelines.</p>
<p>As compared to its conforming mortgage cousins Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, FHA home loans have lower downpayment requirements and looser credit standards. The FHA allows downpayments of 3.5 percent and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac do not, as an example.</p>
<p>Another reason is that FHA home loans aren&#8217;t subject to <a title="Loan-Level Pricing Adjustments from eFannieMae.com" href="https://www.efanniemae.com/sf/refmaterials/llpa/pdf/llpamatrix.pdf" target="_blank">credit score fees</a> the way that conforming mortgages are. Through Fannie or Freddie, a home buyer with a 650 FICO and 20% down is subject to 3% in risk fees.  Via the FHA, the fee is zero, making FHA the better &#8220;deal&#8221;.</p>
<p>The FHA published its 2010 loan limits. There&#8217;s no change from 2009.</p>
<p>The base <a title="2010 FHA Loan Limits" href="http://www.hud.gov/offices/adm/hudclips/letters/mortgagee/files/09-50ml.pdf" target="_blank">2010 FHA loan limits</a> are:</p>
<ul>
<li>1-unit : $271,050 </li>
<li>2-unit : $347,000 </li>
<li>3-unit : $419,400 </li>
<li>4-unit : $521,250</li>
</ul>
<p>We say &#8220;base&#8221; because these loan limits don&#8217;t apply to all areas equally.  Higher-cost regions get higher loan limits, based on typical home values. Homes in Los Angeles County, for example, can be FHA-insured up to $729,750 in 2010, and there are special exceptions made for Alaska and Hawaii.</p>
<p>The official FHA announcement included a complete, county-by-county FHA loan limit list. <a title="FHA loan limits at ceiling and above" href="http://www.hud.gov/offices/adm/hudclips/letters/mortgagee/files/09-50mla1.pdf" target="_blank">The first spreadsheet</a> shows each county at or above the $729,750 maximum; <a title="FHA loan limits between floor and ceiling (most counties)" href="http://www.hud.gov/offices/adm/hudclips/letters/mortgagee/files/09-50mla2.pdf" target="_blank">the second list</a> is everyone else.</p>
<p>If your home&#8217;s county is on <em>neither</em> list, use the &#8220;base&#8221; numbers above.</p>
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		<title>Upon Closer Inspection, The Federal Reserve Isn&#8217;t 100% Positive About The Future Of The Economy</title>
		<link>http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/2010/01/upon-closer-inspection-the-federal-reserve-isnt-100-positive-about-the-future-of-the-economy/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=upon-closer-inspection-the-federal-reserve-isnt-100-positive-about-the-future-of-the-economy</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Jan 2010 14:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://teamestes.thewrittenblog.com/?p=10034</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Both mortgage rates and home affordability took a turn for the better Wednesday after the Federal Reserve released its December 15-16, 2009 meeting minutes.
The Fed Minutes is a follow-up piece to the post-FOMC meeting press release. But whereas the press release is succinct and to-the-point, the minutes are lengthy and often meandering.
As a comparison, December&#8217;s [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img style="margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px; float: right;" title="FOMC December 2009 Minutes" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/fomc-minutes-2009-12.jpg" alt="FOMC December 2009 Minutes" width="200" height="296" />Both mortgage rates and home affordability took a turn for the better Wednesday after the Federal Reserve released its December 15-16, 2009 meeting minutes.</p>
<p>The Fed Minutes is a follow-up piece to the post-FOMC meeting press release. But whereas the press release is succinct and to-the-point, the minutes are lengthy and often meandering.</p>
<p>As a comparison, December&#8217;s press release contained <a title="FOMC Press Release December 16 2009" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20091216a.htm" target="_blank">535 words</a>. December&#8217;s <em>minutes</em> <a title="FOMC December 2009 Minutes" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20091216.htm" target="_blank">had 6,260</a>.</p>
<p>But these &#8220;extra words&#8221; aren&#8217;t superfluous. They&#8217;re actually very important to homeowners. Because the Federal Reserve&#8217;s internal debates help to shape Wall Street expectations, it doesn&#8217;t take much for those conversations to have a trickle-down effect on Main Street.</p>
<p>For example, after the December meeting, the Fed said that economic growth is steady, inflation is in check, and an orderly wind-down of mortgage market support was underway. A look at the minutes, though, showed some disconnect.</p>
<p>Some Fed members believe rising commodity prices could lead to stronger-than-expected, and others think that improvement is housing could be &#8220;undercut&#8221; by a pull-back in government stimulus.</p>
<p>Overall, the Fed appears optimistic about the economy, but not as optimistic as on December 16. Mortgage markets responded favorably to the minutes and mortgage pricing improved.</p>
<p>Although rates remain higher as compared to early-December, pricing has been on a good run this week. If you&#8217;re under contract for a home or just looking to refinance, now may be a good time to lock.</p>
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		<title>Home Buyers Get A Green Light : Pending Home Sales Plunge In November</title>
		<link>http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/2010/01/home-buyers-get-a-green-light-pending-home-sales-plunge-in-november/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=home-buyers-get-a-green-light-pending-home-sales-plunge-in-november</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Jan 2010 14:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://teamestes.thewrittenblog.com/?p=10032</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Just one month after touching a 3-year high, the National Association of Realtors&#174; Pending Home Sales index plunged in November.  A &#8220;pending&#8221; home sale is a home that is under contract to sell, but has yet to close.
The 16 percent drop marks the first retreat in Pending Home Sales since January of last year.
The [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img style="border: 1px solid black; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Pending Home Sales November 2009" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/pending-home-sales-200911.png" alt="Pending Home Sales November 2009" width="216" height="302" /></p>
<p>Just one month after touching a 3-year high, the National Association of Realtors&#174; Pending Home Sales index <a title="Pending Home Sales November 2009" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/01/pending_surge" target="_blank">plunged in November</a>.  A &#8220;pending&#8221; home sale is a home that is under contract to sell, but has yet to close.</p>
<p>The 16 percent drop marks the first retreat in Pending Home Sales since <a title="Pending Home Sales November 2009 data" href="http://www.realtor.org/wps/wcm/connect/5568958040eb2ba1a41afe1f371b0c90/PHS0911.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&amp;CACHEID=5568958040eb2ba1a41afe1f371b0c90" target="_blank">January of last year</a>.</p>
<p>The weak Pending Home Sales data is an indication that <em>Existing</em> Home Sales data will be soft this month. This is because, historically, 80 percent of Pending Home Sales convert to &#8220;closed sales&#8221; within 60 days, and most of the rest close within 120.</p>
<p>With Pending Home Sales down, the housing market should lose some of its momentum.  For today&#8217;s home buyers, this kind of slack can represent a terrific opportunity.</p>
<p>Home prices are a function of supply and demand; of buyers and sellers. When buyers outnumber sellers, competition leads to bidding wars, ultimately, and higher home prices overall.  The imbalance can also create a sense of urgency that results in over-paying for a home.</p>
<p>When buyers are <em>sparse</em>, on the other hand, the psychology of real estate shifts. </p>
<p>Home sellers are keenly aware of foot traffic and requests for second and third showings. Without buyers, their homes can&#8217;t sell.  They also note a lack of general feedback from the market.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s at this point that seller fear can creep in and it becomes a buyer&#8217;s best time to buy.</p>
<p>Based on November&#8217;s Pending Home Sales data, it&#8217;s clear that home sellers are in abundance right now.  Home buyers have leverage.</p>
<p>It may not last.</p>
<p>With mortgage rates easing lower this week, the federal home buyer tax credit still in effect, and the Holiday Season officially over, buyers are getting back to business everywhere. </p>
<p>Plus, with the tax credit deadline of April 30, 2010 fast approaching, buyer activity should increase over the next 4-6 weeks.</p>
<p>The market looks ripe for a buy but don&#8217;t rush it.  Take your time and bid right. But when you&#8217;re <em>ready</em>, be ready &#8212; once the market momentum shifts back to sellers, you might lose all that leverage you built up through the winter.</p>
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		<title>Looking At The 2010 Predictions For Housing Markets And Mortgage Rates</title>
		<link>http://www.teamestes.com/realestateblog/2010/01/looking-at-the-2010-predictions-for-housing-markets-and-mortgage-rates/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=looking-at-the-2010-predictions-for-housing-markets-and-mortgage-rates</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Jan 2010 14:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://teamestes.thewrittenblog.com/?p=10030</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[2010 is just a few days old and already the &#8220;experts&#8221; are making predictions for the year.
Housing calls and mortgage rate predictions run the gamut:

Home prices will fall in 2010
Home prices will rise in 2010
Mortgage rates will rise in 2010
Mortgage rates will rise by a lot in 2010

Given how varied their outlooks, it&#8217;s clear that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img style="border: 1px solid black; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="2010 housing and mortgage predictions are guesses" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/crystal-ball.png" alt="2010 housing and mortgage predictions are guesses" width="220" height="246" />2010 is just a few days old and already the &#8220;experts&#8221; are making predictions for the year.</p>
<p>Housing calls and mortgage rate predictions run the gamut:</p>
<ul>
<li>Home prices <a title="CNNMoney story on 2010 home prices" href="http://money.cnn.com/2009/12/31/real_estate/home_price_drop/index.htm" target="_blank">will fall in 2010</a></li>
<li>Home prices <a title="USA Today story on rising home values" href="http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/housing/2009-11-13-realtors-rising-home-prices_N.htm" target="_blank">will rise in 2010</a></li>
<li>Mortgage rates <a title="Washington Post story on mortgage rates in 2010" href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/12/25/AR2009122501652.html" target="_blank">will rise in 2010</a></li>
<li>Mortgage rates <a title="Morgan Stanley predicts 8% rates in 2010" href="http://business.nashvillepost.com/2009/12/29/morgan-stanley-mortgage-rates-to-jump-in-10/" target="_blank">will rise by a lot</a> in 2010</li>
</ul>
<p>Given how varied their outlooks, it&#8217;s clear that the professionals have no better view of the future than the amateurs. An expert can make an educated guess, but it&#8217;s a guess nonetheless.</p>
<p>Last year, Wall Streeters predicted a 25% pullback in home prices. 12 months later, we know prices didn&#8217;t fall.  Wall Street also predicted higher mortgage rates for 2009. That prediction <em>was</em> fulfilled.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s a lot of talk on CNBC and elsewhere about what&#8217;s coming in 2010. Before you take those predictions to the bank, just remember that analysts do a much better job interpreting data from the past than projecting it into the future.</p>
<p>The only thing that&#8217;s certain right now is that mortgage rates are historically low, the government is giving tax credits to qualified buyers, and there&#8217;s a lot of good &#8220;deals&#8221; in housing. Make the most of what&#8217;s out there today because it will take 12 months for us to look back and know which predictions were right and which were wrong.</p>
<p>Until then, predictions are just opinions and guesses.</p>
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