Foreclosures Per Capita | February 2010

March 11th, 2010

Foreclsoures Per Capita February 2010

According to foreclosure-tracking firm RealtyTrac, foreclosure filings topped 300,000 for the 12th straight month last month as 1 in every 418 U.S. homes received a foreclosure filing.

It’s a small improvement from January and a just 6 percent increase over February 2009.

On a per-capita basis, foreclosure density varied by state:

  • Nevada : 1 foreclosure filing per 102 homes
  • Florida : 1 foreclosure filing per 163 homes
  • Arizona : 1 foreclosure filing per 163 homes
  • California : 1 foreclosure filing per 195 homes

Also, as in January 2010, foreclosures across the country were concentrated. 10 states beat the national Foreclosure Per Capita average; 40 states fell below. Like everything else is real estate, it seems, foreclosures are local.

For today’s Fort Lee home buyers, foreclosures represent an interesting opportunity. 

Homes bought in various stages of foreclosure are often less expensive than other, non-foreclosure homes. It’s one reason why distressed home sales account for 38 percent of all resales. However, less expensive doesn’t always mean less costly.  A foreclosed home may be in various stages of disrepair and they’re often sold as-is, as policy.

Buying new or used in Rivers Bend can be cheaper than buying broken-down.

Therefore, if you’re in the market for a bank-owned home, make sure you know what you’re buying before you sign a contract. Have qualified professionals review and inspect the property, as needed. Damage to pipes or the property’s structure, for example, may not be so obvious on a walk-though and you’ll want to know about it before you buy.

Also, foreclosed homes are federal tax credit-eligible. Buyers must be under contract by April 30, 2010 and closed by June 30, 2010.

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Don’t Rush To Refinance That ARM — It May Be Adjusting To 3 Percent Or Lower

March 10th, 2010

Pending ARM Adjustment March 2010

If your mortgage is set to adjust this year, the smart move may be to let it. Today’s conforming mortgages are adjusting lower than ever before — as low as 3 percent.  It may not be what you expected when you signed for your ARM several years ago.

The reason why ARMs are adjusting lower is because of how they’re made.

When conforming adjustable-rate mortgages adjust, they adjust according to a pre-determined formula. The formula is the sum of a constant and a variable.  The constant is usually 2.25 percent and the variable is a daily-changing interest rate called LIBOR.

The formula looks like this:

New Mortgage Rate = LIBOR + 2.250 percent

LIBOR is an acronym for London Interbank Offered Rate.  It’s an interest rate at which banks borrow money from each other. In Fall 2008, when Lehman Brothers fell and sparked a global banking fear, LIBOR spiked as the risk of inter-bank borrowing jumped. 

Since then, however, LIBOR is down.

Normalcy is returning to banking and the timing couldn’t be better for Fort Lee homeowners with ARMs. 15 months ago, a homeowner’s ARM may have adjusted to 6 1/2 percent.  Today, that same ARM falls to just above 3.

As a strategy play, it might make sense to let your ARM adjust. Or, because fixed rates are still near 5 percent, converting that ARM to a long-term fixed-rate product might make sense, too.  The decision is a balance between how low do you want your payment, and how long might you live in your home.  

The longer you stay, the more it might make sense to switch to fixed-rate, even though ARM rates are so low.

If you’ve got an adjusting ARM, talk to your loan officer about your choices. Once March ends and the Fed withdraws its mortgage market support, mortgage rates may rise and the fixed-rate option may be gone.

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7 Weeks Remain To Find A Home, Claim Up To $8,000 In Tax Credits

March 9th, 2010

7 weeks remain for the Home Buyer Tax Credit ExpirationIn November, Congress extended and expanded the First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit program to include a subset of “move-up” buyers — homeowners that have owned and lived in their home for 5 of the last 8 years.

The credit ranges up to $8,000 per buyer. There’s now just 7 weeks left to take advantage.

To be eligible, home buyers must be under contract for a new home no later than April 30, 2010, and must be closed no later than June 30, 2010.

In addition to meeting the deadline dates, there’s a basic set of requirements to be tax credit-eligible:

  • You can’t purchase the home from a parent, spouse, or child
  • You can’t purchase the home from an entity in which the seller is a majority owner
  • You can’t acquire the home by gift or inheritance
  • Each buyer in the purchase must meet eligibility requirements

There’s other criteria, too.

For one, the sales price on the subject property cannot exceed $800,000. Homes sold for more than $800,000 are ineligible for the tax credit. Furthermore, households earning more than $125,000 as single-filers, or $225,500 for joint-filers, are ineligible.

You can read the complete eligibility requirements at the IRS website, or, you may just find it simpler to speak with your accountant about it. There are some nuances in qualifying for and claiming the tax credit on your returns and getting a professional’s opinion is always wise.

And lastly, don’t forget that government’s tax credit program is a true tax credit. It’s not a tax deduction.  This means that a tax filer whose “normal” tax liability is $3,500 and who is eligible for $8,000 in credit will receive a $4,500 refund from the U.S. Treasury.

If you’re currently in the House Hunt, mark your calendar for April 30, 2010. It’s 7 weeks away and you can be sure that as the date gets closer, buyer traffic is going to increase.  You may find sellers more willing to negotiate today than several weeks from now.

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Geek Gifts : The 16-Piece iPhone Coaster Set

March 8th, 2010

iPhone CoastersYou could call it the Ultimate Geek Gift for an iPhone-toting friend — or even for yourself. It’s a set of 16 coasters made to look like iPhone application icons.

Made by Brazilian firm Meninos, the coasters are constructed from sturdy, medium-density fiber plywood and are coated in vinyl.  They’re are roughly 3 1/2 inches square, washable, and feature non-skid, rubber bottoms.

Many of the most popular iPhone icons are included:

  • Maps and Compass
  • Camera and Photo Albums
  • YouTube and iPod

The iPhone coasters sell for $59.99 plus shipping. Arrange them like your phone, or pin them on the wall.  Either way, they’ll be a functional conversation piece for your home, or the home of a friend.

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Pending Home Sales Drag In January, But Should Rebound For Spring

March 5th, 2010

Pending Home Sales (July 2008-Jan 2010)

Fewer homes went under contract in January as the housing market continues to limp through the winter months.

According to the National Association of Realtors®, the Pending Home Sales Index fell to its lowest level in 3 quarters this January. By contrast, in October 2009, the index had touched a 3-year high.

The Pending Home Sales Index measures the number of homes that have gone under contract to sell, but have yet to close nationwide. It’s compiled using data from more than 100 regional listing services and 60-plus brokerages  — the sample set encompasses 20 percent of all home resales in a given month.

Economists have come to rely on the Pending Home Sales Index because of its high correlation to actual home sales. 80% of all home marked “pending” close within 60 days. Many of the rest close within 120.

Therefore, when we see Pending Home Sales show weakness like it did in January, we can infer that home resales will remain weak through the spring.

But will they really?

  1. Fewer sales should drag down home prices, bringing more buyers into the market
  2. Mortgage rates are still very low, but are poised to rise in just a few weeks
  3. The home buyer tax credit requires buyers to be in contract by April 30, 2010

In other words, there’s a confluence of factors that could lead to a rush of sales in Chester and around the country over the next two months, reversing the housing market’s recent momentum.

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Tying Friday’s Jobs Report To Rising Mortgage Rates

March 4th, 2010

Unemployment Rate 2008-2010Conforming and FHA mortgage rates in Virginia have improved over the last 10 days, but that could all change this Friday with the release of February’s Non-Farm Payrolls report.

Non-Farm Payrolls is the official name of the government’s monthly jobs report and, given the fragile state of the U.S. economy, Wall Street will be watching it closely.

Mortgage rates could spike come Friday morning.

Jobs are an important part of the nation’s recovery. Among other concerns, unemployed Americans don’t spend as much money on goods and services, and are more likely to default on a mortgage. This retards economic growth and increases the potential for foreclosures.

When jobs numbers worsen, therefore, it follows that economic projections worsen, too.

Poor employment figures draw money away from the stock markets and into less-risky bond markets, including mortgage-backed bonds.  Mortgage rates improve as a result. Conversely, when jobs numbers improve, stock markets gain and bond markets worsen.

Analysts expect that a net 30,000 jobs were lost in February.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics press release hits at 8:30 A.M. ET, roughly an hour before Friday’s mortgage pricing will be available to consumers. If you’re worried about rates rising on the heels of a strong jobs report, therefore, be sure to get your rate lock in today instead. Once Friday gets here, it may be too late.

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Be aware of good-faith estimate’ rules, or it could cost you

March 4th, 2010

If you are planning to take out a mortgage or refinance, you might want to hear this blunt message from federal officials: Don’t fly blind. When you’re shopping among competing lenders for the best terms and fees, make sure you know which quotes come with a guarantee and which do not.

Depending on how loan officers provide quotes up front — on an informal “worksheet” that carries no federal consumer protections or on a new, three-page “good-faith estimate” that comes with rock-hard guarantees — there could be a world of difference.

A loan officer might quote you fees that are low-balled by hundreds of dollars on an informal worksheet to get your business. But if the quotes are made on a GFE, they’ve got to be accurate because, under new federal rules that took effect Jan. 1, any significant excesses must come out of the lender’s wallet at settlement.

Last week, the Department of Housing and Urban Development brought together representatives of the highest-volume mortgage lenders in the country — which originate more than 80 percent of all new home loans — to review the agency’s reformed GFE and closing documents.

Among the issues discussed were the widespread use of informal worksheet estimates to quote mortgage rates and settlement fees. HUD does not object to lenders using worksheets to give casual shoppers a rough idea of what they’ll pay. But the agency says it wants lenders and loan officers to make clear to customers that worksheets are not GFEs and are not guaranteed.

At the meeting with major lenders, HUD Deputy Assistant Secretary Vicki Bott warned that under no circumstances can worksheet quotes be issued to a mortgage applicant “in lieu of a GFE.” Once a customer supplies the essential application information — Social Security number, property address and estimated value, among others — lenders must issue a binding-cost GFE rather than a worksheet, Bott said.

Also, loan officers cannot refuse to provide a GFE to an applicant who requests one, nor can they tell applicants that they can receive a GFE only if they commit to using that company to obtain the mortgage.

Loan shoppers “do not have to move forward with a lender to get a GFE,” Bott said in an interview after the lender meeting. “By no means can they say you are bound to me as your lender” after the issuance of a cost-guaranteed GFE. Why? Because the whole concept of the revised GFE is to enable home buyers and refinancers to shop intelligently, with confidence in lenders’ estimates. You can now get cost-guaranteed quotes on a GFE from one lender, then compare them with GFE quotes from competitors. The new form contains itemized boxes allowing comparison of up to four lenders’ quotes — from interest rates to loan fees to prepayment penalties and total settlement expenses.

The GFE also ties upfront estimates to later charges at closing and encourages borrowers to check line by line for any discrepancies. The form explains which fees come with zero tolerance for changes between upfront estimate and closing — generally, the loan fees and local transfer taxes — and which fees allow a 10 percent tolerance for higher charges than the estimate, such as certain title and closing-related services.

How can you be a smart mortgage shopper using the new federal rules to your advantage? If you are seriously looking for the best deal and are prepared to supply basic application information, ask for a GFE by name. If you’re merely shopping for generic rate quotes, worksheets are fine as long as you understand their limitations.

Beware of lookalike ploys and substitutes. Bott told lenders to make sure their worksheets do not “look like a GFE” and that they “be clear [to consumers] that they are not GFEs.”

Some worksheets that have been used by lenders since Jan. 1 resemble GFEs but have titles such as “estimated settlement costs” at the top of the page. Others indicate on the bottom of the form that the worksheet “is not a GFE,” but the typeface is so small that it’s barely legible.

Finally, be aware that federal law requires issuance of a GFE within three days of any application. If you don’t receive one and you signed up for a loan on the basis of a lender’s worksheet, you are truly flying blind.
Complements: Kenneth R. Harney

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How To Properly Screen A Prospective Tenant

March 3rd, 2010

According to the the National Association of Realtors®, “distressed homes” represented nearly 2 of every fifth home sold in January 2010.  Clearly, real estate investors in Chester and around the country are taking advantage of good deals on cheap property.  But there’s risk involved.

This NBC Today Show interview first ran in March 2009, featuring real estate expert Barbara Corcoran. Despite its age, the message remains relevant. Today may be a terrific time to buy a bank-owned home — just make sure you do your research first.  There’s plenty of ways for investors to get burned.

Some of the tips in the video include:

  • Buy in your own backyard
  • Start small, then build to a bigger portfolio
  • Watch receipts — rent rolls don’t matter if tenants aren’t paying rent

Corcoran also gives pointers on how to evaluate a prospective tenant.

Foreclosures should represent a large number of 2010’s total home sales and will offer interesting opportunities to bona fide real estate investors. Before you jump in, make sure to watch the video. The rents you save may be your own.

Remember, the stats and the data are from 12 months ago, but the advice stays meaningful.

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Homebuyer credit not jolting housing market

March 3rd, 2010

It sounded like a great idea three months ago: Hand homeowners a $6,500 tax credit to find a new place to live, giving a thrust of energy to the housing market’s recovery. Read more

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Existing Home Sales Drop Again In January But Stay On The Trendline

March 2nd, 2010

Existing Home Sales Jan 2009-Jan 2010The winter months have not been kind to home sales.

After plunging 17 percent in December, Existing Home Sales fell by an additional 7 percent in January, according to the National Association of Realtors®. An “existing home” is a home resold by a previous owner (i.e. not new construction).

In looking at the annualized, adjusted Existing Home Sales data, we find:

  1. Sales volume is at its lowest levels since June 2009
  2. Sales volume fell below its 12-month rolling average
  3. Home supplies are at a 5-month high

These are similar findings to the New Home Sales data issued by the government last week.  That report put new home sales at a 40-year low and showed new homes supplies higher by an entire month.

But don’t think housing rebound has halted! Home sales are cyclical and there are outside forces on today’s market.

For one, the market is still feeling the after-effects of the original First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit. Sales spiked in the months leading up to the original November 2009 expiration date. A pull-back is natural and expected.

Looking at the long-term trend, Existing Home Sales volume appears right in line.

Furthermore, weather across much of the U.S. was awful in January. That, too, can impede home sales as homes are neither shown nor negotiated when weather is majorly inclement.

Anecdotal evidence is showing sales activity higher through February and into March. And, although it’s unlikely we’ll see a spike through April like we did last November, buy-side demand for homes should remain strong. The good news of the sagging sales reports is that today’s buyers may find home prices are lower and sellers are more willing to negotiate.

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